5
Big Bill
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 56
Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 3f 10y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | BHA61 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Gowran Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 27/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |