14

Curious Jane

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 40

Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 3f 10y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Poor maiden looking pretty exposed by now and it's hard to see her making a serious impact.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f Std 12112/12C8C8 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 12928/01C8C8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f50y Yie 12925/04C8BHA49 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 49 · 1m1f GF 120 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 49 par18/0649OR 49BHA48 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 48 · 1m1f135y Goo 122 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 48 par20/0748OR 48BHA45 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m5f56y Yie 119 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 45 par5/0845OR 45BHA43 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 43 · 1m4f17y Goo 126 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 43 par31/0843OR 43projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA439th9th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA455th5th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA485th5th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA499th9th0
2026-04-25Limerick?11th11th0
2026-01-28Dundalk?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1218/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +7.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/202512th28/10%0%0.00
28/01/202612th150/10%15%+0.15
25/04/202611th300/10%17%+0.17
18/06/20269th50/10%43%+0.43
20/07/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
05/08/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
31/08/20269th33/10%47%+0.47