12
Haeret In Pectore
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 40
Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 3f 10y
#15
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 12.3)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA40 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | BHA40 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Dundalk | BHA40 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Dundalk | BHA40 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Dundalk | BHA42 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Limerick | BHA49 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 20th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2025 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2025 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 30/01/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 8% | -0.65 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 05/09/2026 | 21st | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |