7
Strike De Vega
3yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 53
Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 3f 10y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.8 /10 (raw 12.8)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA58 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA63 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 13-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 17th | 66/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2026 | 18th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |