8
Trishuli River
6yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 45
Down Royal · Pravha Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 3f 10y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA73 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA48 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA52 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | BHA55 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA55 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Dundalk | BHA73 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 28/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.34 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |