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6

Genoah

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 74

Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y

#16

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Better on all-weather than turf but wasn't seen to best effect the way things panned out when seventh of 14 at Dundalk (10.5f) just over 6 weeks ago. Back up in trip and worth a second look from his much-reduced mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA85 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m2f150y Std 145 · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 85 par3/1285OR 85BHA85 @ Dundalk 19/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 85 · 1m2f150y Std 125 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 85 parBHA88 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 1m4f Std 140 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 88 par30/0188OR 88BHA80 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 80 · 1m2f Gd 134 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA78 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 24 · OR 78 · 1m6f Gd 128 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 78 par24/0578OR 78BHA77 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 77 · 1m2f GF 137 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 77 parBHA77 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m2f40y Goo 137 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/0777OR 77BHA77 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m2f184y Goo 137 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 77 parBHA90 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 90 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 90 par15/0890OR 90projClass-projected finish: 9th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15DundalkBHA907th7th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA776th6th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA775th5th0
2026-06-27CurraghBHA772nd2nd0
2026-05-24CurraghBHA7810th10th0
2026-05-10LeopardstownBHA809th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1210/0511/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 2-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20254th28/10%73%+0.73
19/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
30/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
10/05/20269th10/147%20%-0.27
24/05/202610th66/10%61%+0.61
27/06/20262nd9/153%91%+0.38
11/07/20265th9/488%60%-0.28
03/08/20266th9/276%50%-0.26
15/08/20267th20/10%54%+0.54