13
Michinaga
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 76
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#17
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |