15
Pillar Of Hope
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 71
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#15
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Punchestown | BHA71 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | BHA72 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA75 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | BHA77 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA80 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | BHA82 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 96% | +0.09 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.60 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 23/05/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |