7
Rakki
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 74
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA70 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA113 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Punchestown | BHA114 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | BHA112 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 28/07/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 29/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 28/04/2026 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 35% | -0.02 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |