8
Sarangpur
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 74
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | BHA53 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 11th | 300/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 73% | -0.15 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |