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Sea Eagle

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 79

Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Last success came at Roscommon in 2024. stepped up on a low-key first run of the summer on the Flat when second of 14 in maiden hurdle at Wexford back in early-August and task is to back that up returned to the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA90 @ Bellewstown 03/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m4f37y Yie 142 · below its mark03/10/2024 · OR 90 par3/1090OR 90BHA90 @ Leopardstown 20/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Hvy 140 · below its mark20/10/2024 · OR 90 parBHA88 @ Curragh 29/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 88 · 1m Sft 135 · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 88 par29/0388OR 88BHA86 @ Galway 31/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 86 · 1m98y Sft 139 · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f165y Yie 16619/09C8C8 @ Wexford 26/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m145y Goo 166C7 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 83 · 1m Std 139 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 83 par29/10C7OR 83BHA82 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 82 · 1m4f Goo 142 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1667/08C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA8212th12th0
2026-04-19Tramore?0
2025-10-29Dundalk?11th11th0
2025-10-26Wexford?6th6th0
2025-09-19Downpatrick?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1031/0729/107/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength10%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20245th11/271%20%-0.51
20/10/20246th16/583%29%-0.55
29/03/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
31/07/202510th7/163%47%-0.16
19/09/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
26/10/20256th7/163%58%-0.05
29/10/202511th13/891%23%-0.68
26/06/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
07/08/20262nd10/382%92%+0.10