11

Youcansaythatagain
3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 80
Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA82 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA83 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 16-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -20.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |