11

Youcansaythatagain

3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 80

Down Royal · Molson Coors Beverage Handicap · 1m 4f 194y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on debut promise with cosy win in 7-runner course maiden in July. Improved again when fifth on handicap debut at the Curragh and shaped much better than the result when ninth of 15 at Roscommon (1½m) 4 weeks ago, finishing with running left having had no room 2f out.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13426/06C8C8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m2f140y Goo 13417/07C8BHA83 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 83 · 1m2f Goo 136 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 83 par16/0883OR 83BHA82 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 82 · 1m4f17y Goo 133 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 82 par31/0882OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA829th9th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA835th5th0
2026-07-17Down Royal?1st1st0
2026-06-26Curragh?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0617/0716/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 16-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20267th18/15%40%+0.35
17/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
16/08/20265th6/168%64%-0.05
31/08/20269th5/174%43%-0.31