5
Lagon Du Dezert
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Enghien · Prix De Venissieux - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2024 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |