13
Lucas De Tournai
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Enghien · Prix De Venissieux - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 26/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 19/09/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 21/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |