6
Jacana De Blary
7yo Mare · 8-11
Enghien · Prix De La Bastille - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-02 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |
| 02/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 22/12/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 54% | -0.20 |
| 27/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |