2
Jaguar De Villetot
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix De La Bastille - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |