10
Jerika De Keryann
7yo Mare · 9-4
Enghien · Prix De La Bastille - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 09/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/05/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |