3
Joker De Marzy
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix De La Bastille - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 15/09/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |