9
Joyeux Meslois
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix De La Bastille - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/11/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 20/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 69% | -0.23 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |