12
Margot Paroyo
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Moissac - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |