16
Morgane De Hoerdt
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Moissac - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-24 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Reims | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +9.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 45% | -0.40 |
| 27/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 03/12/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |