6
Allofasuddenlee
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 66
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |