Missionattheglen

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 73

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.5

Today:

Class gap: -0.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-20	Saratoga	?	6th	5th	+1	4.6
2026-07-25	Saratoga	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-06-29	Presque Isle Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-06-01	Finger Lakes	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8
2025-10-20	Finger Lakes	?	6th	7th	−1	2.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/10/2025	6th	13/2	66%	29%	-0.37
01/06/2026	5th	33/1	0%	60%	+0.60
29/06/2026	1st	10/1	47%	100%	+0.53
25/07/2026	7th	50/1	0%	33%	+0.33
20/08/2026	6th	40/1	0%	17%	+0.17