3
Speedstre
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |