1

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4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 57

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

44%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f 1263/04C9C6 @ Finger Lakes 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 58 · 4f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 58 parC7 @ Delaware Park 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 59 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 59 par27/05C7OR 59C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m 126 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 60 parC9 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 61 par4/07C9OR 61C9 @ Saratoga 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 58 · 7f 126 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 58 parC9 @ Penn National 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 53 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 53 par15/08C9OR 53C9 @ Finger Lakes 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 57 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 57 par1/09C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-15Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-07-24Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-07-04Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?5th5th0
2026-05-27Delaware Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0411/0615/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
27/04/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
27/05/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
11/06/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
04/07/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
24/07/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
15/08/20262nd13/891%83%-0.08
01/09/20262nd11/1094%75%-0.19