2
Froghollowsummer
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 53
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 30/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |