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4

Jayme's Turn

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 66

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS17/05C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 78 · 6f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 78 par21/06C6OR 78C9 @ Saratoga 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 68 par2/08C9OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?10th7th+3
2026-05-17Belmont At The Big A?9th6th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0521/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -18.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20269th20/10%0%0.00
21/06/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
02/08/20264th5/287%50%-0.37