6
Rahfee Tonalist
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 44
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-11-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 25/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |