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5

Big Jackie

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 58

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 27/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS27/03C6C6 @ Aqueduct 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 51 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 51 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 55 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 55 par8/05C6OR 55C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 58 · 7f Slo 121 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 58 parC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m 120 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 60 par11/06C9OR 60C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 60 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 60 parC9 @ Saratoga 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 54 · 7f 122 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 54 par24/07C9OR 54C9 @ Finger Lakes 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 50 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 50 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 53 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 53 par14/09C8OR 53projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-09-01Finger Lakes?1st2nd−1
2026-07-24Saratoga?6th7th−1
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?5th3rd+2
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?4th5th−1
2026-05-24Belmont At The Big A?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0324/0524/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
24/04/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
08/05/20268th40/10%0%0.00
24/05/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
11/06/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
28/06/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
24/07/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
01/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/09/20262nd1/195%75%-0.20