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2

Bustling Town

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 57

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 05/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/02C6C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 20 · 6f Fm 126 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 20 par3/05C9OR 20C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 43 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 43 par11/06C9OR 43C9 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 6f 124 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 50 par20/07C9OR 50C9 @ Finger Lakes 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 6f 124 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 57 par17/08C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Finger Lakes?1st2nd−1
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?10th11th−1
2026-05-03Belmont At The Big A?8th9th−1
2026-02-05Aqueduct?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/023/0511/0620/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
03/05/20268th20/10%36%+0.36
11/06/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
20/07/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
17/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12