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Good Mission

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 65

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 19/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 65 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark19/06/2025 · OR 65 par19/06C9OR 65C9 @ Saratoga 30/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fm 124 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 68 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 65 par25/08C6OR 65C6 @ Finger Lakes 23/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 65 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 10/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 65 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/11/2025 · OR 65 par10/11C6OR 65C6 @ Finger Lakes 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 63 · 4f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 65 par12/05C5OR 65C5 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 67 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 67 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 67 par10/08C5OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-06-16Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?4th1st+3
2026-04-27Finger Lakes?1st-1th+2
2025-11-10Finger Lakes?2nd0th+2
2025-09-23Finger Lakes?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0623/0912/0510/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20253rd6/168%82%+0.13
30/07/20254th9/276%63%-0.14
25/08/20255th5/287%33%-0.54
23/09/20254th11/486%40%-0.46
10/11/20252nd15/890%67%-0.23
27/04/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
12/05/20264th6/492%50%-0.42
16/06/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
10/08/20265th7/282%20%-0.62