Az U Chase Me
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 86
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-10-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |