3

Seams Like Destiny

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 90

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

90%

Place Prob

65%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 77 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 77 par29/09C5OR 77C5 @ Finger Lakes 05/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 18/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 86 par18/11C5OR 86C6 @ Turf Paradise 16/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 88 par27/05C5OR 88C5 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 91 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 87 par28/07C5OR 87C5 @ Finger Lakes 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 88 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 86 par7/09C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2026-08-19Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2026-07-28Finger Lakes?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-16Finger Lakes?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2026-04-16Turf Paradise?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0916/0428/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength91%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20252nd7/163%67%+0.04
05/11/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
18/11/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
16/04/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
27/05/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
16/06/20263rd3/184%33%-0.51
28/07/20263rd3/184%67%-0.18
19/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
07/09/20261st15/890%100%+0.10