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9

Addyson's Dream

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 52

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 08/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Gd 125 · below its mark08/02/2025 · OR 76 par8/02C9OR 76C9 @ Penn National 01/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark01/03/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 35 · 4f110y 124 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 35 par28/04C8OR 35C8 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 46 · 6f 124 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 46 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 37 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 37 par6/07C8OR 37C8 @ Finger Lakes 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m110y Fas 124 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 40 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 40 · 1m 124 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 40 par28/07C8OR 40C8 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 51 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 51 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 50 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 50 par14/09C8OR 50projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Presque Isle Downs?8th8th0
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-28Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-15Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-06Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-06-16Finger Lakes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0216/0628/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20252nd15/890%83%-0.07
01/03/20254th11/486%50%-0.36
28/04/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
16/06/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
06/07/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
15/07/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
28/07/20264th7/282%25%-0.57
25/08/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
14/09/20268th25/10%13%+0.13