American Halite
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 64
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-10-31 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2024-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 30/07/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 20/08/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2024 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 31/10/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |