7

Fast Amendment

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Finger Lakes 01/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 71 par1/10C9OR 71C9 @ Finger Lakes 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 1m70y Fas 124 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 74 · 1m70y Slo 124 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 74 par13/11C8OR 74C8 @ Finger Lakes 25/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 76 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 68 · 1m39y Fas 124 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 68 par23/06C8OR 68C8 @ Finger Lakes 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 66 · 1m 124 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 67 par20/07C8OR 67C8 @ Finger Lakes 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 68 par25/08C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-11Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2025-11-25Finger Lakes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1025/1120/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
14/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
13/11/20252nd15/261%88%+0.27
25/11/20257th5/174%33%-0.40
23/06/20263rd9/488%75%-0.13
06/07/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
20/07/20262nd2/189%80%-0.09
11/08/20264th6/594%57%-0.37
25/08/20265th6/492%33%-0.59