Luceo Non Uro
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |