7
Im Gunna
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/5 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |