2
Last Vintage
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 21
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 02/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |