Solo Street

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 48

Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength66%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-02	Finger Lakes	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-19	Finger Lakes	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-29	Finger Lakes	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-06-09	Finger Lakes	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-02-11	Aqueduct	?	11th	11th	0	1.0
2026-01-09	Aqueduct	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength88%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/01/2026	6th	25/1	0%	17%	+0.17
11/02/2026	11th	10/1	47%	9%	-0.38
09/06/2026	5th	25/1	0%	50%	+0.50
29/06/2026	5th	25/1	0%	43%	+0.43
19/08/2026	2nd	5/1	74%	80%	+0.06
02/09/2026	4th	13/2	66%	50%	-0.16