6
Ten Run Rule
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 26
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |