4
Makar
6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |