1
Mr. Einstein
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |