8
Tapizar's Temper
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |