9
Burning Munny
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 54
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |