2
Disco Dancer
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 23/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |