1
Not My Type
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |