2
Jinx Me
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |