Imperial War

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 70

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C8.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-18	Woodbine	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-09-07	Woodbine	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-16	Woodbine	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2025-10-11	Woodbine	?	7th	5th	+2	5.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength88%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/10/2025	7th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
16/08/2026	2nd	16/1	16%	83%	+0.68
07/09/2026	4th	9/4	88%	63%	-0.26
18/09/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	67%	+0.19