Whiskytangodisco

4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 54

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

12%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼1

Strength74%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.5

Today:

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-14	Fort Erie	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-30	Fort Erie	?	6th	2nd	+4	8.2
2026-08-11	Fort Erie	?	2nd	-1th	+3	5.0
2026-07-21	Fort Erie	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-13	Gulfstream	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-05-30	Gulfstream	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength85%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/04/2026	6th	25/1	0%	17%	+0.17
02/05/2026	7th	50/1	0%	33%	+0.33
09/05/2026	9th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
30/05/2026	6th	40/1	0%	29%	+0.29
13/06/2026	6th	50/1	0%	50%	+0.50
21/07/2026	5th	12/1	37%	33%	-0.04
11/08/2026	2nd	14/1	26%	86%	+0.59
30/08/2026	6th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26
14/09/2026	3rd	15/2	61%	71%	+0.11